Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.176590 0.201925 0.230280 0.264488 0.304801 0.350994 0.408210
2025-11-16 0.134211 0.166788 0.207015 0.260870 0.331882 0.423443 0.552276
2025-11-23 0.109594 0.144324 0.190288 0.256643 0.351769 0.486034 0.695044
2025-11-30 0.096420 0.133037 0.184311 0.263107 0.384367 0.569484 0.884834
2025-12-07 0.083881 0.120091 0.173127 0.258879 0.398799 0.627004 1.047225
2025-12-14 0.075482 0.111666 0.166841 0.260252 0.421111 0.700233 1.253986
2025-12-21 0.068384 0.104107 0.160546 0.260100 0.440102 0.770742 1.474227
2025-12-28 0.063717 0.099687 0.158478 0.266391 0.471074 0.869017 1.778168
2026-01-04 0.059293 0.095064 0.155347 0.270083 0.497539 0.963917 2.104400
2026-01-11 0.055486 0.090999 0.152575 0.273838 0.524548 1.065673 2.480466
2026-01-18 0.052639 0.088248 0.151729 0.281006 0.559704 1.193217 2.967559
2026-01-25 0.049309 0.084264 0.148110 0.282046 0.581777 1.295799 3.426646
2026-02-01 0.046067 0.080182 0.143972 0.281697 0.601412 1.399353 3.938487
2026-02-08 0.042947 0.076034 0.139266 0.279525 0.616626 1.496398 4.476991
2026-02-15 0.039939 0.071809 0.133937 0.275207 0.625830 1.579999 5.011603
2026-02-22 0.038356 0.070194 0.133687 0.282266 0.665142 1.759943 5.991031
2026-03-01 0.035848 0.066506 0.128741 0.277682 0.673043 1.849157 6.668608
2026-03-08 0.034099 0.064197 0.126471 0.279174 0.697874 1.999059 7.693868
2026-03-15 0.032367 0.061769 0.123686 0.279008 0.718093 2.140666 8.777483
2026-03-22 0.031308 0.060651 0.123674 0.285839 0.760340 2.372563 10.474966
2026-03-29 0.030116 0.059147 0.122630 0.289850 0.795066 2.590241 12.280020
2026-04-05 0.029012 0.057738 0.121658 0.293929 0.831077 2.826810 14.410461
2026-04-12 0.028214 0.056932 0.122017 0.301718 0.881200 3.140475 17.346877